China's greatest strenghthes are its massive, young, productive and relatively cheap workforce, and the good fortune of globalization which brings huge flow of capital, technologies and jobs to the nation to take advantage of its productive workforce. I don't believe China's oppressive political system contributes to this economic success in any way. The West also experienced rapid growth from 50s to 70s thanks to their young baby boomer generation. However, when the population eventually age, this strength suddenly becomes a burden. The aging problem will be more acute for China because of its one child policy. When this happens, productivity and export drop, social cost such as health care cost rises, inflation up, many jobs outsourced and economic growth slows. So the same problem of aging population that is hurting the western economy now will hurt China's economy at a greater degree because of its one child policy. I saw a report saying the average age of the Indian population will be signicantly younger than China's about ten years from now. So we have reason to believe that India will enjoy a much more rapid economic growth at that time and beyond.
中国 PK 印度
无论何时如果是一样的政治经济制度
中国将会大胜印度
1949-1978 印度完胜中国
印度是民主制度 + 社会主义计划经济制度
中国是一党独裁 + 社会主义计划经济制度
1978年 - 1991年 考虑滞后性(大约在1985年左右) 中国大胜印度
印度是民主制度 + 社会主义计划经济制度
中国是一党独裁 + 资本主义社会化大生产
1992年 - 2009年 中国经济继续领先,优势继续扩大
印度是民主制度 + 资本主义社会化大生产
中国是一党独裁 + 资本主义社会化大生产
2009年 - 2020年 中国经济继续领先,优势开始缩小
印度是民主制度 + 资本主义社会化大生产
中国是一党独裁 + 资本主义社会化大生产
2020年 - 2030年 印度经济开始领先,但绝对值依然落后
印度是民主制度 + 资本主义社会化大生产
中国是一党独裁 + 资本主义社会化大生产
2030年 - 2040年 印度经济开始大幅领先,生活水平超越中国
印度是民主制度 + 资本主义社会化大生产
中国是一党独裁 + 资本主义社会化大生产
印度BBS热评中国阅兵:该我们反思了