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加拿大油砂可能成为世界最大石油来源

联合早报消息,据卡尔加里美联社电,随着环球传统石油资源面临耗尽之虞,加拿大油砂可能在2010年成为世界最大的新石油供应来源。

加拿大帝国商业银行世界市场(CIBC World Markets)首席经济师鲁宾指出,开采油砂矿藏是其中一个仍有机会取得增长的投资领域。

他说:“今年石油产量的净增长预料将来自非传统来源。尽管深海石油如今还是主要的石油产量来源,我们估计,到了2010年,加拿大油砂资源将成为全球石油供应量增长的单一最大贡献者。”

加拿大石油行业人士透露,加拿大西部可开采的油砂资源大约有1750亿桶,在石油资源蕴藏量方面仅次于沙特阿拉伯。

加拿大石油生产商协会预测,加拿大西部的油砂产量目前占加拿大原油总产量的大约四成,今后将增加到75%。

CIBC的报告指出,一项针对全球164个新油田和开采项目的研究显示,如果环球对石油的需求没有减弱,石油价格在未来三年仍将继续上升。

鲁宾指出,今年的石油价格将超越去年每桶70.85美元(约115新元)的历史新高。他也预测,石油价格可能在明年飙升到每桶100美元的高价,这是因为能源公司将需要大笔现金来投资在昂贵的大型工程如油砂开采。

虽然有分析师不认同鲁宾的预测,不过大家的共识是环球对石油的需求仍然强劲,而在传统石油资源有限的情况下,石油公司唯有寻找新的非传统能源资源。

报告说:“石油资源的减少不仅显著,速度也在加快,这迫使石油公司得更多地依赖非传统的能源来源,例如加拿大的大量尚未开采的油砂。”

报告指出,若是把石油蕴藏量减少的因素考虑在内,环球传统能源供应量“似乎已在去年达到顶点”。

报告说,今年大约有360万桶的石油日产量是来自新的石油来源,不过由于北海和科威特的一些现有油田已耗尽,超过六成的新增产量只能用来抵销减少的产量。

据估计,新增日产量在未来两年将增长少于150万桶,到了2008年更减少到少于100万桶。因此,拿大西部艾伯塔省的油砂矿,目前已成为开发新能源供应的聚焦点,未来20年进行的开采工程,估计将高达1000亿美元。

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Now is the good chance to buy its stock. 🙂
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整个阿伯达都很旺,当然Fort McMurray是赚快钱和多钱的地方。下面的文章供有兴趣的人参考。 Jobs, jobs, jobs There are all kinds of employment opportunities for the young and old, professional, skilled tradesperson and entry-level workers all over Alberta Saturday, January 14, 2006 EDMONTON - Wheat fields, cattle and an oil rig -- symbols that represent the work that built the province. But do they adequately represent Alberta's future? Where are the province's "hot jobs" in 2006? "Every forecast I've seen says Alberta is going to be red hot in the coming year," says Jan Revrink, an economist with Alberta Economic Development. "The average consensus forecast is for 4.3-per-cent economic growth rate in 2006, and that outpaces the national average." Record-high prices and demand for the province's oil and gas resources, and the resulting need for energy-sector workers has a "trickle-down" impact on manufacturing, real estate, retailing and other service sectors, says Revrink. From the bounty of its natural resources industries, Alberta has also crafted a strong future in growth industries such as biotechnology, health care, information and communications technology, and industrial manufacturing. And after years of budget cutbacks and stagnation, a "debt-free" government is ready to spend again in the health-care and education sectors, while spending on infrastructure is going to sustain, if not increase demand for construction jobs. Agriculture is still recovering from the impact of BSE (bovine spongiform encephalopathy; more commonly known as mad cow disease), a five-year drought that tapered off in 2004, and the widespread flooding of 2005. But on this front, too, progress is being made in opening worldwide markets once again to Canadian beef products. "Alberta should continue to offer the best job prospects in the nation ... and the largest increase in incomes," says a recent report from BMO Financial Group. Alberta's unemployment rate is forecast to average 3.5 per cent to 2015, three percentage points lower than Canada's, while personal disposable income will soar 71 per cent to $46,100 from $26,961 in 2004, 23 per cent higher than the Canadian average, the report concludes. The Alberta government reported full-time employment grew by 53,900 jobs in 2005, with the largest gains in Alberta's professional, scientific and technical services, and wholesale trade sectors. Overall, job prospects in Alberta in 2006 are expected to continue to be "positive and robust," said Jeff Goplin, director for Manpower Alberta. Staffing services agency Manpower Inc. projects a seasonally adjusted net employment gain of 17 per cent for Western Canada, as compared to a national net employment gain of two per cent, in its employment outlook survey for the first quarter of 2006. "If you look at Edmonton, Calgary, Red Deer -- all are experiencing a positive and robust hiring climate. Of the 10 surveyed industry sectors, the mining employers report the most vigorous results. Engineering and project management jobs -- indicative of the economy in Alberta -- we're seeing a lot of positions in these roles or spin-off roles." Administrative roles, skilled trades, retail opportunities, health-care jobs, financial employment at all career levels -- a quick search of jobs in Edmonton on the employment website working.com demonstrates the wide-ranging demand for people to fill roles that have been "spun off" or "trickled down" from employment increases in oilsands mining, and oil and gas drilling. LOTS OF JOB OPPORTUNITIES People relocating to Alberta and bringing their families with them has created a plethora of jobs, from food service to health care, education to retail. Drive down any major artery in Edmonton, for example, and the roadside is cluttered with "help wanted" signs hoping to lure workers with incentives or above-minimum wages. Retailers are particularly eager to offer both full-time and part-time opportunities to young and older workers alike. "Retail in Alberta is leading the nation," said John Wojcicki, president of Retail Alberta. "We have experienced over 13-per-cent growth in the past two years. And retail continues to be the No. 1 employer in the province, with over 210,000 employed. You put those two factors together, you would expect retail to be a strong area of job growth in 2006." A traditional source of workers to fill retail positions is a young student population, and this continues to be the case. In Alberta's current economy, however, it's often difficult to compete with higher-paying jobs such as those found in the oilpatch. Wojcicki points out retailers are stressing flexible scheduling, part-time opportunities. Alberta's retailers have come to recognize the fact that older workers also offer certain advantages, he adds. "More and more retailers are looking at older workers as a valuable resource, and more and more seniors are interested in getting back into the workforce (after retirement)," said Wojcicki. BABY BOOMERS ARE RETIRING Growth of Alberta's major metropolitan communities is creating the need for more public service workers as well. And, as in the rest of the nation, Alberta's retiring baby boomers are creating jobs in virtually every sector. These two factors are behind recruiting efforts by the Edmonton Police Service and Edmonton Fire and Rescue, who are looking to train 100 and 75 new members, respectively, in 2006. In health care, renewed government investment in infrastructure and training, and advances in health technology have created openings in occupations such as medical lab technologist, MRI technician, respiratory therapist and dental lab technologist. Nurses remain in strong demand, according to Margaret Ward-Jack, communications director for the College & Association of Registered Nurses of Alberta. And driving this demand, along with factors such as growing communities and retiring nurses, is the increased health-care needs of an aging population, she points out. So, where are the "hot jobs" in Alberta? The short answer is everywhere. From High Level to Coutts, Jasper to Lloydminster; mining the province's natural resources or staffing a clothing store; for young and old; professional, skilled tradesperson or entry level -- there are jobs to be had in Wild Rose country. Vicki Charron is editor of Home-Enterprise.net, the resource centre for Canadian home-based business and telecommuters. © The Edmonton Journal 2006
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太冷的地方俺怕去呀!
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我想原因大概是这么几个: 1. 加拿大根本无法实现京都协议的目标,自由党实际上给出的是空头承诺;Air quality deteriorated in Canada during the past 10 years, while greenhouse gas emissions rose 24 per cent, a new report said Wednesday. The study, prepared by Environment Canada, Statistics Canada and Health Canada, revealed that by 2003, emissions of greenhouse gases were 32 per cent above the targets set out by the Kyoto Protocol for 2008 to 2012. 2. 哈柏显然是在挺加拿大的能源工业,尤其是目前强力拉动经济的油砂工程:- An increasingly tight oil supply will continue to force crude prices higher and make Canadian oil sands the single biggest contributor to net new global supply by the end of the decade, states a report released today by CIBC World Markets. 但油砂在提炼过程中,污染是相对比较大的,履行京都协议无疑要浪费这块黑金;并且,恶化联邦和Alberta的关系,在自由党执政下Alberta已经声称不随联邦采用京都协议。 3. 加拿大的贡献有限:相对于中、美、印等大国来说,加拿大的污染和限制温室气体排放显然是无足轻重,而自然环境却优越许多。再说,这温室效应唯一受益的也可能就加拿大了。
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最初由 Stop Fighting 发布: 那里不适合居住,消费也高,平均房价30万。总之去那就是赚钱去的,干几年回来住 http://www.canada.com/search/story.html?id=415abde9-44ea-4ad0-a110-a2cc0031ffc1 My post means that you can also "就是赚钱去的" but not go there in person. Do not miss the chance.
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那里不适合居住,消费也高,平均房价30万。总之去那就是赚钱去的,干几年回来住 http://www.canada.com/search/story.html?id=415abde9-44ea-4ad0-a110-a2cc0031ffc1
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