oops Mayor Ford just cut the HIV protenction program, you can expect more!
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lijun88
2011-11-30 12:53
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瞎扯JBD, 看看官方的统计, 不要乱说话.
Statistics - TorontoUpdated June 2011
To Date (1985-2009)
20,056 people have tested positive for HIV in Toronto since 1985. This represents 65% of all HIV-positive test reports in Ontario.
Men have accounted for 87.5% of all positive HIV test reports in Toronto since 1985. 82% of all infections among men in Toronto have been among gay, bisexual men, and other men who have sex with men.
Women have accounted for 12.5% of all positive HIV test reports in Toronto since 1985. 48% of all infections among women in Toronto have been among women from countries with high rates of HIV.
Mode of HIV Transmission in Toronto, 1985 - 2009:
■Gay and bisexual men and other men who have sex with men (MSM): 71.3%
■Injection drug users (IDU: 4.4%
■People from countries with high rates of HIV: 11.7%
■Women: 12.5%
Most Recent Trends (2008 - 2009)
596 Torontonians were diagnosed as HIV-positive in 2009. In 2008, the number was 612. It is estimated that the number of people who were actually infected with HIV in Toronto in 2009 was almost 975 people.
Gay, bisexual men and other MSM accounted for 69% of all new HIV diagnoses in 2009, while women accounted for 18% of new HIV diagnoses. For women, 53.5% of all diagnoses were among women from countries with high rates of HIV.
Mode of HIV Transmission in Toronto, 2009:
■Gay and bisexual men and other men who have sex with men (MSM): 69%.
■Injection drug users (IDU): 3%
■People from countries with high rates of HIV infection: 15%
■Women: 18%
Toronto population in 2011 - about 2,500,000
1/12 = about 200,000
"该报告还发现,在多伦多平均每天会有2人感染爱滋病毒"
In one year there will be about 750 persons.
In ten years there will be about 7500 persons.
Even in 100 years, toronto still only has 75,000 persons who carry the virus. How long it takes to get to 200,000 persons?
Usually it is a kind of tactic to increase the number so they can get more money from the government.
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车神 EVO X
2011-11-30 00:07
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楼上的初中数学没有学好。
。
知道病毒的几何传播方式,即一元N次方吗?
。
假设1个艾滋病人一年传染2个人,而这2个人第二年又分别传染2个人,那么5年后就是2的5次方,即32个,而不是 2(个) X 5(年) = 10
。
假设1个艾滋病人一年传染5个人,而这5个人第二年又分别传染5个人。那么,从第一个艾滋病人出现开始,到第10年,就是5的10次方 即 5 X 5 X 5 ...... X 5 = 9765625 人,即接近 1000万人!!
多伦多每120成人1人带爱滋 感染激增