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加拿大前央行行长揭高房价原因 不是需求问题

据彭博新闻报道,加拿大央行前行长道奇(David Dodge,图)近日对加拿大温哥华和多伦多楼市过热问题发表评论,称令人担忧的不是需求,而是供应受限。

报道又称,最新的房地产数据显示,联邦政府最新的按揭规定并没有立即对楼市产生影响。

道奇曾任职加拿大按揭和房屋公司,是前加拿大联邦财长,于2001年至2008年任央行行长。

他说:“问题并不复杂,一条是供应曲线,一条是需求曲线,如果限制了供应,价格上涨就不足为奇。”

他认为,在多伦多和温哥华两大最热的市场,房价越来越受到供应有限的驱动,对此联邦政府已经无法发挥作用。

联邦的按揭新规打击的是全国各地的市场需求,并且已经威胁到国内其他已经疲弱的市场。

道奇指出,现在最大的问题在于,地方政客不愿意加快房屋开发建设。

新的按揭规定成效不彰

联邦政府于10月初先后出台一系列举措,包括收紧买房者的按揭规定,建议银行分摊按揭亏损,但是最新楼市数据显示,这些措施并没有立即见效,尤其是在多伦多。

加拿大地产协会的数据显示,10月份多伦多平均房价按月上涨了2%,按年上涨了18%。在温哥华,房价10月份略有下跌,但按年仍上涨达28%。

与大温地区和大多地区的楼市形成鲜明对比的是,其他地区的房价都没有上涨或出现下跌。这也反映了联邦财长莫奈的新规成效不彰。

目前,加国各大银行,贷款中介和建筑商都开始表示担忧,要求政府关注供应问题,而不是需求。

财长莫奈说,他并没有忽略供应问题,财政部官员已经设法说服卑诗省和安省政府采取行动,增加房屋供应,但是至今得不到回应。

在多伦多,新房供应量极为紧缺,其中2015年低层房屋的建设量比上年减少了25%,仅12,156间,是1995年以来最少的。

2015年独立屋的新屋完工量减少了18%,仅7,871间,是1978年以来最少的。

“数据已经说明问题,开发商只能建造获批准建造的数量。”

网友评论

网友评论仅供其表达个人看法,并不表明 51.CA 立场。
  • @ 2016-11-19 19:34
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    本帖最后由 HeartSutra 于 2016-11-19 19:42 编辑

    这些年全世界政府包括央行疯狂的印了多少钱?印了这么多钱,经济和就业不还这么糟糕!百姓收入真正增加了多少?钱实际上都通过房市直接印给了坐收渔利的各大银行和官僚们自己的亲属及狐朋狗友了。房价高,老百姓其实更加水深火热,各种税和费猛涨!什么JB供应短缺?把CMHC砍掉,不要在拿纳税人的血汗钱来保护私人大银行的利益了。川普能赢大选,主要原因是他说了些真话,这真话是官僚和大金融资本都避而不谈的真相。其中川普在竞选中多次提到的大资本家政治捐款的影响和政府的腐败。
  • @ 2016-11-19 17:04
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    大家看看,在供应有限的地方,房市就会一直涨,永远涨,涨涨涨,其他所有因素都是假的,都不起作用,也没有 ...

    你和你的楼市女神
    一人一面锣
    抢房喽
    加税喽
    你俩还能再缺德点吗?
  • @ 2016-11-19 13:31
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    那个地方没有需求?所有人都想买房子而且越大越好,美国次贷的时候就突然不需求了吗?
  • @ 2016-11-19 20:56
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    个人觉得前央行长的话被断章取义了,他不会蠢到只说这些。都懂的
  • @ 2016-11-20 09:40
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    我家附近有2个房子,有人买去后,空在那里,等升值。
  • @ 2016-11-19 19:54
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    本帖最后由 HeartSutra 于 2016-11-19 19:59 编辑

    我说的大资本对政治的影响,下面是GEORGE SOROS给当时美国国务卿希拉里克林顿的私人电邮(WikiLeaks):

    https://wikileaks.org/clinton-emails/emailid/28972

    Dear Hillary,

    A serious situation has arisen in Albania which needs urgent attention at senior levels of the US government. You may

    ?know that an opposition demonstration in Tirana on Friday resulted in the deaths of three people and the destruction of

    UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2014-20439 Doc No. C05778285 Date: 09/30/2015

    property. There are serious concerns about further unrest connected to a counter-demonstration to be organized by the

    governing party on Wednesday and a follow-up event by the opposition two days later to memorialize the victims. The
    prospect of tens of thousands of people entering the streets in an already inflamed political environment bodes ill for
    the return of public order and the country's fragile democratic process.

    I believe two things need to be done urgently:

    1.Bring the full weight of the international community to bear on Prime Minister Berisha and opposition leader Edi
    Rama to forestall further public demonstrations and to tone down public pronouncements.

    2.Appoint a senior European official as a mediator.

    While I am concerned about the rhetoric being used by both sides, I am particularly worried about the actions of the
    Prime Minister. There is videotape of National Guard members firing on demonstrators from the roof of the Prime
    Ministry. The Prosecutor (appointed by the Democratic Party) has issued arrest warrants for the individuals in question.

    The Prime Minister had previously accused the opposition of intentionally murdering these activists as a provocation.
    After the tape came out deputies from his party accused the Prosecutor of planning a coup d'etat in collaboration with
    the opposition, a charge Mr. Berisha repeated today. No arrests have been made as of this writing.

    The demonstration resulted from opposition protests over the conduct of parliamentary elections in 2009. The political
    environment has deteriorated ever since and is now approaching levels of 1997, when similar issues caused the country

    to slide into anarchy and violence. There are signs that Edi Rama's control of his own people is slipping, which may lead
    to further violence.

    The US and the EU must work in complete harmony over this, but given Albania's European aspirations the EU must take
    the lead. That is why I suggest appointing a mediator such as Carl Bildt. Martti Ahtisaari or Miroslav Lajcak, all of whom
    have strong connections to the Balkans.

    My foundation in Tirana is monitoring the situation closely and can provide independent analysis of the crisis.

    Thank you,

    George Soros

    Also:

    http://www.infowars.com/make-soros-happy-clinton-campaign-discusses-importance-of-pleasing-billionaire-in-leaked-email/

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