一月GTA销量止跌 公寓销量价格双降

實際上，買房就像買股票一樣，有人看漲，有人看跌！ 如果你看加拿大近年來的房價，你會知道，自2000年來，房價漲了一倍還要翻兩個跟頭！ 就是在經濟最不景氣的2008年，房價也沒見跌！漲了0.8%。 有人把房價高漲歸于2008年來的低利率，實際上，從2000年來，房價每年上漲的幅度都差不多（2008年除外）。 每年都有那么多新移民過來，這些人都需要房子住，所以房子的需求量不會下降太多。 我想，除非，加拿大不移民了，就沒房子的需求了，房價會大跌。 另外，就是像上世紀90年代的經濟大衰退，整個經濟徹底跨臺；或者比2008年還嚴重的衰退。 只有這樣的情況出現，房價才會出現大的下跌。 但我想，在這里，看房子只否會漲跌的人，應都不希望加拿大出現大的經濟蕭條。如果真的蕭條了，那時，你也不會或沒錢，更沒膽買房了！ 對每一個已經買房的人，房子的漲跌對你自己沒有多大的關系，頂多就找個精神安慰。看見漲，你覺得買的合算了，看見跌，你覺得買虧了。 但你已經買了，漲跌除影響你心情外，與你真的沒太大的關系：除非你準備以大房換小房，你才會希望房子漲，否則，房價跌可能對你更有益。 如果你交過幾年地稅后，你就知道這樣一個事實：房子漲，意味著你交的地稅也得跟著漲，現在每個市都在把你的房子價錢抬起來，以便政府能夠從你那收更多的稅！

跌了好，正好低价入市。 胆小的就看热闹吧。看了太多移民到加拿大十多年还在租房住的人，十年前就嫌贵，后来发现越来越贵。多伦多的房价怎么会跌呢？短期跌跌是正常现象，长期就一个字：涨。 多伦多的房价和北京上海相比已经很幸福了。

http://www.wenxuecity.com/news/2013/02/11/2227241.html

看跌!

http://www.torontorealestateboard.com/market_news/release_market_updates/news2013/nr_comm_watch_0113.htm

GTA Commercial REALTORS? Report Commercial Market Figures TORONTO, February 5, 2013 -- Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Commercial Division Members reported almost 392,000 square feet of leased industrial, commercial/retail and office space through the TorontoMLS system in January of 2013. This result, for properties sold on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed at time of reporting, was down by approximately 15 per cent in comparison to January 2012. More than 75 per cent of space leased in January involved industrial properties. The amount of leased industrial space was down by close to 25 per cent compared to January 2012. The average lease rate was $5.25 per square foot net. This average rate represented an 11 per cent increase compared to January 2012. “A slow recovery in the export sector has presented headwinds for the industrial sector. However, the consensus outlook is for continued economic growth in 2013 in Canada. It is felt that improving global economic conditions will bolster exports. With this outlook in mind, it is likely that some industrial firms who put real estate investment on hold will once again become active in the market,” said TREB Commercial Division Chair Cynthia Lai. There were a combined 40 industrial, commercial/retail and office transactions in January – down from 58 sales in January 2012. The change in the average selling price per square foot was mixed and remained somewhat volatile on a year-over-year basis due to changes in the type, size and location of properties sold in January 2013 versus January 2012. “The large annual rate of price growth for industrial properties was due to the fact that no property larger than 50,000 square feet sold this past January versus four such transactions in January 2012. Larger properties generally sell at a lower price per square foot,” said Lai. “In the office market, the overall average selling price for January was up substantially over last year because the geographic breakdown of sales changed. This year there were more office transactions in the City of Toronto. All else being equal, office selling prices in the City of Toronto are higher compared to surrounding regions,” continued Lai. January 2013: Per Square Foot Net Commercial Leasing Summary Lease Transactions Completed on a Per Square Foot Net Basis with Pricing Disclosed on TorontoMLS Leased Sq. Ft. (Price Disclosed, Per Sq.Ft. Net) Avg. Lease Rate (Price Disclosed, Per Sq.Ft. Net) Jan. 2013 Jan. 2012 % Change Jan. 2013 Jan. 2012 % Change Industrial 298,284 395,943 -24.7% Industrial $5.25 $4.73 11.1% Commercial 65,315 21,611 202.2% Commercial $15.91 $21.66 -26.5% Office 28,285 43,488 -35.0% Office $10.81 $10.20 5.9% Total 391,884 461,042 -15.0% Source: TREB Commercial Division January 2013: Commercial Sales Completed with Pricing Disclosed on TorontoMLS Sales (Price Disclosed) Avg. Sale Price Per Sq. Ft. (Pricing Disclosed) Jan. 2013 Jan. 2012 % Change Jan. 2013 Jan. 2012 % Change Industrial 17 27 -37.0% Industrial $119.96 $60.27 99.0% Commercial 17 22 -22.7% Commercial $92.18 $149.52 -38.3% Office 6 9 -33.3% Office $325.25 $172.12 89.0% Total 40 58 -31.0%